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April 10, 2026
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"What makes you think anybody with power will listen to a bunch of scientists? They never have before."
"The fault is all ours. We have become overwhelming. About one in twenty of all the people who have ever existed is alive today, compared to just one in a thousand of other species. As a result we are depleting the earth. But even now the question is still asked: Does it really matter? So we lose a few cute mammals, and a lot of bugs nobody ever heard of. So what? Weâre still here. Yes, we are. But the ecosystem is like a vast life-support machine. It is built on the interaction of species on all scales of life, from the humblest fungi filaments that sustain the roots of plants to the tremendous global cycles of water, oxygen, and carbon dioxide. Darwinâs entangled bank, indeed. How does the machine stay stable? We donât know. Which are its most important components? We donât know. How much of it can we take out safely? We donât know that either. Even if we could identify and save the species that are critical for our survival, we wouldnât know which species they depend on in turn. But if we keep on our present course, we will soon find out the limits of robustness. I may be biased, but I believe it will matter a great deal if we were to die by our own foolishness. Because we bring to the world something that no other creature in all its long history has had, and that is conscious purpose. We can think our way out of this. So my question isâconsciously, purposefully, what are we going to do?"
"In the last centuries of the empire, educational standards and literacy had fallen. In the dulled heads of the masses, distracted by cheap food and the barbaric spectacles of the coliseums, the values on which Rome had been founded and the ancient rationalism of the Greeks had been replaced by mysticism and superstition. It wasâHonorius had explained to his pupilâas if a whole culture was losing its mind. People were forgetting how to think, and soon they would forget they had forgotten. And, to Honoriusâs thinking, Christianity only exacerbated that problem. âYou know, Augustine warned us that belief in the old myths was fadingâeven a century and a half ago, as the dogma of the Christians took root. And with the loss of the myths, so vanishes the learning of a thousand years, which are codified in those myths, and the monolithic dogmas of the Church will snuff out rational inquiry for ten more centuries. The light is fading, Athalric.â"
"But even if it is true, even if we are governed by the legacy of an animal past, then it is up to us to behave as if it were not so."
"It (i. e., agriculture) was the most profound revolution in hominid living since Homo erectus had left the forest and committed themselves to the savannah. Compared to this phase shift, the advances of the futureâeven genetic engineeringâwere details. There would never be so significant a change again, not until humans themselves disappeared from the planet."
"Her story was a creation myth, a legend already more than twenty thousand years old. Such talesâwhich said that Jahnaâs people were the pinnacle of creation, that theirs was the only right way, and that all others were less than humanâtaught the people to care passionately about themselves, their kin, and a few treasured ideals. But to the exclusion of all other humans, let alone such non-people as the Old Manâs kind."
"In this marginal land accurate information was at a premium; to know the land was to prosper, not to know it meant starvation, and experts were a lot more valuable than bosses."
"A growing belief that behind every event lay intentionâbe it an evil thought in the mind of another, or the benevolent whim of a god in the skyâwas perhaps inevitable in creatures with an innate understanding of causality. If you were smart enough to make multicomponent tools, you eventually came to believe in gods, the end of all causal chains. There would be costs, of course. In the future, to serve their new gods and shamans, the people would have to sacrifice much: time, wealth, even the right to have children. Sometimes they would even have to lay down their lives. But the payback was that they no longer had to be afraid of dying."
"The emergent humans were still animals, still bound by natural law. No innovation in the way they lived would have taken root if it had not given them an adaptive advantage in the endless struggle to survive. An ability to believe in things that werenât true was a powerful tool."
"If you were capable of thinking of an object from more than one point of view, you could imagine it doing all sorts of things. For Mother, consciousness was becoming more than just a tool for lying."
"Relentless Pleistocene selection was shaping everything that would make up humanity. Even love was a by-product of evolution. Love, and the pain of loss."
"There were other ways for primates to live, other kinds of societies that could be imagined. But once the pattern had been set, it was all but impossible to break."
"With his eland meat Brow was able to reinforce his political position among the menâand buy access to the women, which was ultimately the only purpose of his endless battle for dominance."
"On the longest of timescales, over millions of years, the workings of chance defied human intuition. Humans were equipped with a subjective consciousness of risk and improbability suitable for creatures with a lifespan of less than a century or so. Event that came much less frequently than thatâsuch as asteroid impactsâwere place, in human minds, in the category not of rare, but of never. But the impacts happened even so, and to a creature with a lifespan of, say, ten million years, would not have seemed so improbable at all. Given enough time even such unlikely events as ocean crossings from Africa to South America would inevitably occur, over and again, and would shape the destiny of life."
"The rodentsâ vast litters incidentally offered up much raw material to the blind sculptors of natural selection; their evolutionary rate was ferocious."
"There was no design in this: no sense of improvement, of purpose. All that was happening was that each organism was struggling to preserve itself, its offspring, and its kin. But as the environment slowly changed, so through relentless selection did the species that inhabited it. It was not a process fueled by life, but by death: the elimination of the less well adapted, the endless culling of inappropriate possibilities. But the potential of an unseen future was no consolation to those who lived through the relentless culling."
"If you were part of a group there was always the chance that the predator would take the next guy, not you. It was a cold-blooded lottery that paid off often enough to be worthwhile adapting for. But there were disadvantages to group living: mainly, if there were large numbers of you, there was increased competition for food. As that competition resolved itself, the inevitable result was social complexityâand the size of the adapidsâ brains had increased so that they were capable of handling that complexity. Then, of course, they were forced to become even more efficient at searching for food to fuel those big brains. It was the way of the future. As primate societies became ever more complex, a kind of cognitive arms race would continue, increasing smartness fueled by increasing social complications."
"Bex shrugged. âYou think anybodyâs going to listen to a bunch of scientists? No offense. But nobody has so far.â"
"As I've often said, I'm a fan of hard SF. No, it's more like I am addicted to it, even the stepped-on 20 times and cut with powered milk and rat-poison sort of hard SF. This gets us to Stephen Baxter's Mayflower II, published last year in a limited edition from PS Publishing. In one of the great tragedies of publishing, it was not a limited enough edition and so I have read it."
"[F]olks would better off dipping their heads in a bucket of liquid [nitrogen] and battering them against a tree very very hard than reading Baxter's Titan. It would not surprise me if reading that book causes birth defects."
"In the hearts of a hundred billion worlds Across a trillion dying realities in a lethal multiverseâ In the chthonic silenceâ All that could have been done had been done. In peace and satisfaction, minds diffuse and antique submitted to the End Time."
"Let me face bare-handed a dozen highly trained and fully armed gladiators, each with a personal grudge against me, than a lawyer with a single pointed question."
"We underestimated the vindictiveness of mankind. Their retrospective tribunals. Their visiting of punishments on the children of the perpetrators. They never forgave us."
"Ah, Mardina. Evidently you entirely lack imagination. Youâll go far in the Navy."
"I know the military. The sooner they can kick a problem upstairs the happier they will be."
"If you were anywhere near the center of human affairs, even to the extent that she was, your predominant emotion had to be disappointment at the way in which an age when opportunities for humanity had never been greater, old flawsâterritorialism, combativeness, reluctance to transcend cultural barriers, a sheer inability simply to see things from the other guyâs point of viewâlooked set to bring the sky crashing down on all their heads."
"It was always the same with engineers, Stef had observed; nothing made them happier than to be given a well-defined and achievable task, and to be left alone to get on with it."
"She was doing well with her schooling, scoring high in mathematics, sciences and deductive abilities, as well as in physical prowess and leadership skills. Her father had been paradoxically pleased when she had been flagged up with a warning about having introvert tendencies. âAll great scientists are introverts,â he said. âAll great engineers too, come to that. The sign of a strong, independent mind.â"
"...Why Nimrod? Why that name?" Ramrod straight, he looked down at her. "I guess you skipped Bible studies at school. Genesis 10, verses 8 to 10: 'And Cush begat Nimrod: he began to be a mighty one in the earth... And the beginning of his kingdom was Babel, and Erech, and Accad, and-" "Babel?" "It was only generations after the flood of Noah. Chapter 11, verse 4. 'And they said, Go to, let us build us a city and a tower, whose top may reach unto heaven.'" "But God struck them down when they built the tower." "Yes. But why? 11, 6. 'Now nothing will be restrained from them, which they have imagined to do.' That's what God said about mankind. He feared us, and so He struck us down. We have that verse up on the wall on big banners, to motivate the workforce. 'Nothing will be restrained from them, which they have imagined to do.'" "Wow," Thandie said. "You're challenging God?" "Why the hell not?"
"Humans and their petty doings come and go, but the geology endures."
"Darwin had found a way in which a species could be shaped to fit its environmentânot by divine intervention, not by mind, but through the steady, relentless working of natural law. Just like the Huttonian prescription for the Earth, it was a Newtonian scheme for life. For better or worse, Darwin transformed our view of our place in the universe. Humans too are not the outcome of a divine design, but simply products of the relentless workings of natural laws, just like rivers and mountains, beetles and whales."
"The mind seemed to grow giddy by looking so far into the abyss of time; and while we listened with earnestness and admiration to the philosopher who was now unfolding to us the order and series of these wonderful events, we became sensible how much farther reason may sometimes go than imagination can venture to follow."
"âIn matters of science, curiosity gratified begets not indolence, but new desires.â"
"âIf, in pursuing this object, we employ our skill in research, not in forming vain conjectures; and if data are to be found, on which Science may form just conclusions, we should not long remain in ignorance with respect to the natural history of this Earth, a subject on which hitherto opinion only, and not evidence, has decided. For in no subject is there naturally less defect of evidence, although philosophers, led by prejudice, or misguided by false theory, have neglected to employ that light by which they should have seen the system of the world.â"
"His overriding lesson for thinkers like Hutton was that scientists, even those occupied by an apparently âconcreteâ discipline like geology, need to be careful not just about what they claim to know but also about how they claim to know it. Human reason is a fragile thing and prone to be overthrown by suggestibility."
"Hutton became very critical of a system where appointments depended not on merit but on the support of those in power. Of one possible opening for Watt he wrote, âI think it only needs to have a man properly bestir himself but that is what few political people do unless to serve themselves.â"
"Despite his friendship with Adam Smith, he believed in government intervention in agriculture, as it was too important to be left to market forces and chance: âThe husbandman maintains the nation in all its ease, its affluence and its splendour,â he wrote. But farmers too had a responsibility for the public good. Rotation of crops, ensuring equal acreages of different crops at any given time, would help keep prices stable."
"In his reliance on evidence, preferably obtained at first hand, Hutton was showing the way to the geological methods of the future."
"âHe set no great value on money, or, perhaps, to speak properly, he set on it no more than its true value.â"
"Buffonâs work created a great furore, of course. The theologians at the Sorbonne condemned him, and Buffon dutifully retracted. But he wasnât sincere: âIt is better to be humble than hanged.â"
"Francis Bacon, who died in the seventeenth century, argued strongly that philosophy and theology should be kept separate, and that we should concentrate our studies on the local problems and the interconnections between material and efficient causes. Final-cause analysis was just a distraction: âInquiry into final causes is sterile, and, like a virgin consecrated to God, produces nothing.â"
"Ussherâs intense and obsessive project seems very odd to the eyes of a modern scientist. After all he had deduced the age of the Earth without looking at a scrap of physical evidenceânot a single rock."
"Anyhow, thatâs our story. And I think, in my glimpses of the great encompassing mechanism that has shaped us all, Iâve seen a little of the numinous. Thatâs enough of God for me."
"He walks on, across the hot crimson dust."
"They see the universe as essentially bountiful, a generous motherland. We see the universe as an enemy nation, to be occupied and mastered."
"A lion takes only the last deer in the herd. She does not dream of having so many cubs that the plains would be full of nothing but lions. There are simple laws. Most species figure them out; you are the exception. An ecology of a single species is not viable. A diverse, stable world would provide for you."
"âWeâd carve a place out of the wildernessââ âBut there is no wilderness, Mane said. âEven without war, even if you found a space not already cultivated, you would be forced to occupy a region, delineated in space, time, and energy flow, already exploited by another portion of the ecology.â It took some time for Emma to figure that out. âYes,â she said. âThere is bound to be some environmental impact. Butââ âOther species would find reduced living space. Diversity would fall. And so it would go on. Soon the world would be covered from pole to pole by humans, fighting over the diminishing resources.â"
"But what would humans do, she mused, if they stumbled on a situation like this? Well they wouldnât be satisfied with the generosity of Candyland. Theyâd breed until the caves were overflowing. The hunters would start ranging farther until all the animals in the area were eaten or driven away. Then agriculture would start, with everybody forced to bend their bodies to back-breaking toil, day after day. As the population exploded the forests would be cut back, the animals decimated. Then would come the famines and the wars."
"No wonder you canât figure out the Fermi Paradox, Malenfant, if you donât know your own wifeâs dress size."
"We must consider the possibility that the manifold of universes through which we wonder is in fact infinite."