"[W]e are thinking on different time scales. ...A lot of the conversations here in Davos.., when they say "long term" they mean like 2 years. When I say long term I mean like 200 years. It's like, it's the Industrial Revolution. The first commercial railway has been opened between Manchester and Liverpool in 1830. This is now... 1835, and we are having this discussion. People are saying, "The Industrial Revolution is moving so slowly. They told us that railways and steam engines will change the world. So what? So a few people are going between Manchester and Liverpool. It didn't change anything. This is all science fiction. Because of the time scale, we have no idea. Even if... all progress in AI stops today, the stone has been thrown into the pool, but it just hit the water. We have no idea what are the waves, even by the AIs that already have been deployed, say a year or two ago."
Yuval Noah Harari

January 1, 1970

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