"Lucas and Sargent’s main argument was that Keynesian economics had ignored the full implications of the effect of expectations on behavior. The way to proceed, they argued, was to assume that people formed expectations as rationally as they could, based on the information they had. Thinking of people as having rational expectations had three major implications, all highly damaging to Keynesian macroeconomics. ... The first implication was that existing macroeconomic models could not be used to help design policy. … The second implication was that when rational expectations were introduced in Keynesian models, these models actually delivered very un-Keynesian conclusions. … The third implication was that if people and firms had rational expectations, it was wrong to think of policy as the control of a complicated but passive system. Rather, the right way was to think of policy as a game between policy makers and the economy. … To summarize: When rational expectations were introduced, Keynesian models could not be used to determine policy; Keynesian models could not explain long-lasting deviations of output from the natural level of output; the theory of policy had to be redesigned, using the tools of game theory."
Quote Details
Added by wikiquote-import-bot
Unverified quote
0 likes
Original Language: English
Available Languages (1)
Sources
Ch. 24 : Epilogue: The Story of Macroeconomics
https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Olivier_Blanchard
Revision History
No revisions have been submitted for this quote.
Categories
Olivier Blanchard
4 quotes on TrueQuotesView all quotes by Olivier Blanchard →
Related Quotes
"I refuse to start from the assumption that the role of monetary policy is to control and stabilize inflation. The onl…"
"Crises feed uncertainty. And uncertainty affects behaviour, which feeds the crisis."
"Using the popular macroeconomic models of the time, Lucas and Sargent showed how replacing traditional assumptions ab…"
"Although Champollion was an avowed revolutionary and an enthusiastic Bonapartist, one of his earliest discoveries dis…"
"Responsible AI is artificial intelligence that must be designed responsibly by humans in a way that respects human va…"
"Like biologists, who have been concerned about ethics for years and have banned human cloning, for example, IT profes…"
"A few days ago, Google CEO Sundar Pichai shared his concerns about AI being “badly deployed” and said that “generativ…"
"Artificial intelligence is constantly progressing and its uniqueness lies in the rapid pace at which it is evolving a…"
"Let’s take a concrete example: Open AI produced and rapidly launched ChatGPT, and several million users connected to …"
"Second challenge: the legislative and legal issue. We need to agree on the legal definition of artificial intelligenc…"