"I have argued that forecasts will be based on more information than is contained in econometric models and in general on information differing from agent to agent. I also want to argue that they will not necessarily use all the information contained in an econometric model. In fact, the two propositions are intimately linked though they seem to move in opposite directions. We have to assume that information-processing ability is scarce. As I have already said, this is one of the main justifications for and explanations of a decentralized economy. But then it follows that an individual concentrates on acquiring the information most useful to him and will have to crowd out the information which is less useful. In particular, information that is broadly pertinent to the economy as a whole may have very little predictive power for the future of an individual."
Quote Details
Added by wikiquote-import-bot
Unverified quote
0 likes
Academics from the United StatesPeople from New York CityMathematicians from the United StatesEconomists from the United StatesNobel laureates in Economics
Original Language: English
Available Languages (1)
Sources
"The Future and the Present in Economic Life", Economic Inquiry (1978)
https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Kenneth_Arrow
Revision History
No revisions have been submitted for this quote.
Categories
Kenneth Arrow
Kenneth Joseph Arrow (August 23, 1921 – February 21, 2017) was an American economist, who was Professor Emeritus of Economics in Stanford, and joint winner of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics with John Hicks in 1972.
151 quotes on TrueQuotesView all quotes by Kenneth Arrow →
Related Quotes
"There is no need to enlarge upon the importance of a realistic theory explaining how individuals choose among alterna…"
"Among economic phenomena which have in some way been tied up with the existence of uncertainty, three classes may be …"
"The businessman may be compared with two other types of individuals who are essentially concerned with behavior under…"
"Traditional welfare economics shows that there are certain of these combinations that will be preferred by all the vo…"
"In a capitalist democracy there are essentially two methods by which social choices can be made: voting, typically us…"
"Ever since I encountered Hicks’s Value and Capital while I was still a graduate student, I had the aim of completing …"
"L. Walras first formulated the state of the economic system at any point of time as the solution of a system of simul…"
"Perhaps as important is the relation between the existence of solutions to a competitive equilibrium and the problems…"
"The government may be regarded as a decision-making entity. Among the decisions it makes are the formation of economi…"
"The terms of trade with the outside world should not be regarded as freely given to the firm. In a world with a large…"