"It is very unlikely that we would drive to extinction any native Martian microorganisms in the process of extending t…"

"We do not need a lunar-orbiting station to go to the Moon. We do not need such a station to go to Mars. We do not nee…"

"Musk can probably build a giant AI data centre on the Moon. But if it can’t compete with much cheaper alternatives on…"

"Much of the uncertainty in individual decision making comes from not knowing what we really want to achieve through t…"

"The better is the worst enemy of the plenty good enough."

"So the road to a decision involves five steps, each simple enough: list of the actions you can take (a decision is ju…"

"People seem to flinch at the word probability—it has too many syllables. Besides, it sounds mathematical, and it’s be…"

"Someone once said that he had made many mistakes in life, but never because he knew too much."

"There may be people who know more than you, and can therefore do a better job of predicting the odds. If you can find…"

"The laws of probability are mighty powerful, and they never sleep. If this were more widely understood there’d be a l…"