"The easiest way in which one can put unintentional strains on the enemy is to have a force which looks "trigger-happy." The one circumstance under which almost all Soviet experts agree the Russians might strike is the one in which they feel they are anticipating a strike by us. It will be difficult for them to read our intentions. They will doubtless err on the side of caution. But it is not clear which side will look cautious, particularly if there is a crisis which creates apprehension. It will add a real element of stability if our posture is such that we do not look as if we have to be "trigger-happy" in order to survive. This is an important reason for not relying solely on quick reaction as a protection and for not having forces so vulnerable that we could lose most of them from a Russian first strike. Under some circumstances our vulnerability to a Russian first strike would both tempt the Russians to initiate a war and at the same time compel them, because they might feel that we would be tempted to pre empt for our own protection. If we are sufficiently vulnerable they might find it impossible to believe that we were willing, in this crisis to rely on their good will, morality; caution, or sense of responsibility as a protection."
Quote Details
Added by wikiquote-import-bot
Unverified quote
0 likes
Atheists from the United StatesJews from the United StatesPeople from New JerseyPhysicists from the United StatesGame theorists
Original Language: English
Available Languages (1)
Sources
Imported from EN Wikiquote
https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn
Revision History
No revisions have been submitted for this quote.
Categories
Herman Kahn
Herman Kahn (February 15, 1922 – July 7, 1983) was an American futurist and nuclear theorist. He was one of the founders of the Hudson Institute and an employee of the RAND corporation. He is most known for his work On Thermonuclear War.
30 quotes on TrueQuotesView all quotes by Herman Kahn →
Related Quotes
"The Russians aren't dedicated world dominationists. You know, they just sort of want it on account of a sentimental w…"
"He flips to a drawing of a spindly boy wearing oversized glasses, hugging an ABC primer, and sniffing a daisy. This i…"
"The next picture is a Goliath with four arms, reading a book, lofting a 1000-pound dumbbell, aiming a pistol at a tar…"
"He ambles along the platform."Lots of times people say about systems analysis, why don't you guys do an experiment? W…"
"Actually, even with tested missiles, results of attacks are not really mathematically predictable. The probability of…"
"Even if military advantages were not to be had by deliberately limiting attack to counterforce targets, I suspect tha…"
"The difference between megaton and kiloton is very large, in some ways larger than the difference between kiloton and…"
"The final outcome of benevolent, informed, and intelligent decisions may turn out to be disastrous. But choices must …"
"In addition to the obvious dangers, there is another subtle but by no means minor disadvantage to a pure deterrence p…"
"The usual image of war today held by many experts as well as most laymen can be summed up in the phrase "orgiastic sp…"