"In specific contexts in which abundant empirical evidence is available, fairly reliable short-term prediction and control of a society's behavior may be possible. For example, economists can predict some of the immediate consequences for a modern industrial society of a rise or a fall in the interest rates. Hence, by raising or lowering interest rates they can manipulate such variables as the levels of inflation and of unemployment. Indirect consequences are harder to predict, and prediction of the consequences of more elaborate financial manipulations is largely guesswork. That's why the economic policies of the U.S. government are subject to so much controversy: No one knows for certain what the consequences of those policies really are. Outside of contexts in which abundant empirical evidence is available, or when longer-term effects are at issue, successful prediction – and therefore successful management of a society's development – is far more difficult. In fact, failure is the norm."
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Anti-Tech Revolution: Why and How
Anti-Tech Revolution: Why and How is a book by Theodore Kaczynski. The first edition was published in 2016 by Fitch & Madison Publishers.
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