"So the forecast seems to have been quite good. The question is "What was it based on?" It was not... a prophecy, it was a scientific prediction because there is a specific mechanism on which it was based. ...[T]he forecast was a scientific prediction in the sense that I wanted to stick my neck out [and] make an out-of-sample prediction to see whether the mechanisms that have been identified by our theory... actually are working in the way that we thought..."
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Academics from the United StatesNon-fiction authors from the United StatesHistorians from the United StatesPolitical scientists from the United StatesBiologists from the United States
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Peter Turchin
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