"We know that the probability of well-established induction is great, but, when we are asked to name its degree we cannot. Common sense tells us that some inductive arguments are stronger than others, and that some are very strong. But how much stronger or how strong we cannot express."
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John Maynard Keynes, A Treatise on Probability (1921), ch. 22, p. 259
https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Common_sense
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Common sense
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